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Bayreuth vs Greuther Furth

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Club Friendly
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Match Events

84' Event
Heinle A.

AI Match Summary

Bayreuth host Greuther Furth in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Greuther Furth have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Bayreuth have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Bayreuth slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward Bayreuth. Bayreuth in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bayreuth
6%
Draws
4%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayreuth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayreuth has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Greuther Furth.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bayreuth.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 16%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayreuth Greuther Furth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayreuth vs Greuther Furth
1:0
Jul 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Bayreuth vs Greuther Furth
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Heinle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayreuth 84 / 100
Greuther Furth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayreuth Greuther Furth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayreuth scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Greuther Furth let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bayreuth went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Greuther Furth lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayreuth VS Greuther Furth
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%