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Bayside United vs The Lakes FC

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
27' Event
34' Event

AI Match Summary

The Brisbane Premier League game between Bayside United and The Lakes FC finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayside United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bayside United
39%
Draws
31%
The Lakes FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayside United come out ahead of The Lakes FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bayside United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bayside United Clean Sheet 12%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayside United The Lakes FC
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs The Lakes FC
5:2
Jun 19, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs Bayside United
1:3
Mar 14, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs The Lakes FC
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayside United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fearn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayside United 29 / 100
The Lakes FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayside United The Lakes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayside United scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

The Lakes FC let in goals in 91% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Bayside United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayside United VS The Lakes FC
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Albany Creek4
St. George Willawong0
Bayside United5
The Lakes FC2
Final
Albany Creek1
Bayside United2