Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayswater vs Fremantle City

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Frank Drago Reserve
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
La Galia O.
33' Event
Jackson C.
(Penalty)
69' Event
La Galia O.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Bayswater and Fremantle City finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bayswater
33%
Draws
27%
Fremantle City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayswater come out ahead of Fremantle City on wins alone.
  • Bayswater are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayswater Fremantle City
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Bayswater
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Fremantle City
3:3
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayswater vs Fremantle City
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Bayswater
1:2
May 31, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Fremantle City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer La Galia O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmedov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayswater 38 / 100
Fremantle City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayswater Fremantle City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayswater's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Fremantle City let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Bayswater remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayswater VS Fremantle City
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar17114229:2037
2Bayswater17104342:2334
3Olympic Kingsway17103437:2533
4Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
5Fremantle City1877435:2728
6Stirling Macedonia1772832:2723
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1755728:3120
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale17431031:4515
11Perth Glory U2317341028:3613
12Balcatta17321224:4911