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Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Frank Drago Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Loughrey P.
68' Event
Jackson C.

AI Match Summary

Bayswater in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayswater.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bayswater
20%
Draws
28%
Perth Glory U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayswater lately — more wins on the board than Perth Glory U23.
  • Model gives Bayswater a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayswater Perth Glory U23
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.44 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23
2:0
May 16, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23
3:0
May 17, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer Loughrey P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayswater 83 / 100
Perth Glory U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayswater Perth Glory U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayswater Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayswater's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Perth Glory U23 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bayswater stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bayswater VS Perth Glory U23
3 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayswater

(Home)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Bayswater
5 : 3
Olympic Kingsway
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
14 Aug
Bayswater
6 : 2
Stirling Macedonia
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
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Perth Glory U23

(Away)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)