Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Kulach V.
21'
21'
Rybak M.
37'
37'
Romanyuk Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Bazys Kochubiyivka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Bazys Kochubiyivka haven't matched Mayak Sarny's recent run of results.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Mayak Sarny arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mayak Sarny, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bazys Kochubiyivka Clean Sheet 10%
Mayak Sarny Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bazys Kochubiyivka | Mayak Sarny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.58 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Bazys Kochubiyivka vs Mayak Sarny
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bazys Kochubiyivka Compare
Top Goalscorer Rybak M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Mayak Sarny Compare
Top Goalscorer Kulach V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Totovytskyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.43
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bazys Kochubiyivka 34 / 100
Mayak Sarny 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bazys Kochubiyivka Mayak Sarny
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mayak Sarny Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bazys Kochubiyivka's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 2 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Mayak Sarny conceded in 67% of 3 recent games.
Bazys Kochubiyivka went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bazys Kochubiyivka VS Mayak Sarny
3 Goals Scored 1.67
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 67%
100% Over 2.5 33%
100% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Bazys Kochubiyivka
(Home) 08 Sept
Bazys Kochubiyivka
1 : 4 Mayak Sarny
21 Aug
Druzhba-Kozaky
3 : 5 Bazys Kochubiyivka
08 Sept
Bazys Kochubiyivka
1 : 4 Mayak Sarny
Mayak Sarny
(Away) 08 Sept
Bazys Kochubiyivka
1 : 4 Mayak Sarny
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
1 : 0 SC Poltava
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
0 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
08 Sept
Bazys Kochubiyivka
1 : 4 Mayak Sarny
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets -
FC Chernihiv -
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
TBD -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
