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BDF XI vs Police XI Prediction & H2H Stats

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
BDF XI Logo

BDF XI

2 - 1
FT
Police XI Logo

Police XI

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between BDF XI and Police XI finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BDF XI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
BDF XI
30%
Draws
47%
Police XI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Police XI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Police XI come out ahead of BDF XI on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 22%
Police XI Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BDF XI Police XI
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.04 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premier League
BDF XI vs Police XI
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Police XI vs BDF XI
0:2
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Police XI vs BDF XI
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League
BDF XI vs Police XI
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Premier League
BDF XI vs Police XI
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BDF XI 37 / 100
Police XI 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BDF XI Police XI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police XI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BDF XI scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Police XI let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: BDF XI remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BDF XI VS Police XI
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BDF XI

(Home)
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
Page 1 of 6

Police XI

(Away)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)