Sport Picks
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes Prediction & H2H Stats
Botswana
Premier League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Sua Flamingoes in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sua Flamingoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sua Flamingoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sua Flamingoes have won more games recently than BDF XI.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Sua Flamingoes taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sua Flamingoes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 10%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BDF XI | Sua Flamingoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs BDF XI
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs BDF XI
4:2
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BDF XI 18 / 100
Sua Flamingoes 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BDF XI Sua Flamingoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BDF XI scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Sua Flamingoes let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
BDF XI has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
BDF XI VS Sua Flamingoes
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
BDF XI
(Home) 11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1 BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1 BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3 Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1 BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2 Centre Chiefs
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3 Nico United
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2 Centre Chiefs
06 May
BDF XI
0 : 1 Township Rollers
11 Apr
BDF XI
1 : 3 Sua Flamingoes
18 Mar
BDF XI
2 : 1 Police XI
Page 1 of 3
Sua Flamingoes
(Away) 19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1 Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0 Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0 Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
25 Apr
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
11 Apr
BDF XI
1 : 3 Sua Flamingoes
18 Mar
Santa Green
1 : 3 Sua Flamingoes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone Utd | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 62:15 | 74 |
| 2 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 44:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Centre Chiefs | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 37:18 | 56 |
| 5 | Morupule | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 6 | Orapa United | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 35:30 | 47 |
| 7 | Township Rollers | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:33 | 45 |
| 8 | Nico United | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 28:25 | 42 |
| 9 | Tafic FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:26 | 35 |
| 10 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29:37 | 33 |
| 11 | Police XI | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 17:29 | 32 |
| 12 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Extension Gunners | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Black Lions | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17:38 | 27 |
| 15 | Santa Green | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 23:58 | 22 |
| 16 | Calendar Stars | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 19:43 | 21 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
