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Bdin Vidin vs Chavdar Troyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West game between Bdin Vidin and Chavdar Troyan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bdin Vidin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bdin Vidin
15%
Draws
37%
Chavdar Troyan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Bdin Vidin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bdin Vidin's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 19%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bdin Vidin Chavdar Troyan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 1 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Chavdar Troyan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bdin Vidin 49 / 100
Chavdar Troyan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bdin Vidin Chavdar Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bdin Vidin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bdin Vidin found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Chavdar Troyan has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Bdin Vidin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bdin Vidin VS Chavdar Troyan
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bdin Vidin

(Home)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Bdin Vidin
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
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Chavdar Troyan

(Away)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Spartak Pleven II 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
11 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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