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Bdin Vidin vs Montana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
0 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

103' Event
Milushev M.
110' Event
Vasilev V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bdin Vidin
15%
Draws
21%
Montana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bdin Vidin come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bdin Vidin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bdin Vidin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montana, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montana have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 14%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bdin Vidin Montana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Bdin Vidin vs Montana
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Vtora liga
Bdin Vidin vs Montana
2:3
Sep 27, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Bdin Vidin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bdin Vidin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Montana Compare

Top Goalscorer Milushev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bdin Vidin 84 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bdin Vidin Montana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bdin Vidin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bdin Vidin found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Montana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bdin Vidin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bdin Vidin VS Montana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bdin Vidin

(Home)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Bdin Vidin
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
Page 1 of 6

Montana

(Away)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -