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BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BEA Mountain in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
BEA Mountain
15%
Draws
27%
Black Man Warrior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • BEA Mountain have won more games recently than Black Man Warrior.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on BEA Mountain taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 68%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BEA Mountain Black Man Warrior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.27 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior
2:0
Nov 27, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs BEA Mountain
1:1
Jan 8, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs BEA Mountain
3:3
Dec 11, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BEA Mountain 95 / 100
Black Man Warrior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BEA Mountain Black Man Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BEA Mountain's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Solid form: BEA Mountain remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Black Man Warrior has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

BEA Mountain VS Black Man Warrior
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BEA Mountain

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 6

Black Man Warrior

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)