Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BEA Mountain vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

Orange Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
BEA Mountain
35%
Draws
14%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • BEA Mountain have won more games recently than Freeport.
  • BEA Mountain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • BEA Mountain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Freeport, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 16%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BEA Mountain Freeport
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.26 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Orange Cup
BEA Mountain vs Freeport
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Freeport
7:3
Nov 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs BEA Mountain
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Freeport
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs BEA Mountain
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BEA Mountain 84 / 100
Freeport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BEA Mountain Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BEA Mountain scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Freeport let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: BEA Mountain remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BEA Mountain VS Freeport
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BEA Mountain

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 7

Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Black Man Warrior 1
Watanga 0
Gardnersville 2
Downtown 0
BEA Mountain 1
Freeport 3
FC Fassell 0
Shaita 2
Semi-finals
Black Man Warrior 4
Gardnersville 3
Freeport 1
Shaita 2
Final
Black Man Warrior 2
Shaita 1