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Beasain vs Real Union B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beasain host Real Union B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Beasain at 1.35 goals for, 1.35 against; Real Union B at 1.17 for, 2 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.73 - 1.13) back Beasain to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Beasain
30%
Draws
39%
Real Union B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Union B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Beasain have won more games recently than Real Union B.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Beasain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Beasain Clean Sheet 20%
Real Union B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beasain Real Union B
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 11 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.35 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.35 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beasain 42 / 100
Real Union B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beasain Real Union B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Union B conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Beasain scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Beasain has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Real Union B registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beasain VS Real Union B
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Beasain

(Home)
10 Oct
Beasain
4 : 2
Lagun Onak
04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0
Beasain
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 7

Real Union B

(Away)
10 Oct
Santurtzi
1 : 0
Real Union B
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)