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Bebri vs Marienburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Bebri advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bebri
15%
Draws
0%
Marienburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bebri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bebri come out ahead of Marienburg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bebri's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Bebri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bebri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%
Marienburg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bebri Marienburg
Matches Played 32 3
Wins 7 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 21 3
Goals Scored 1.38 0.33
Goals Conceded 3.19 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2014 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Marienburg
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bebri 40 / 100
Marienburg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bebri Marienburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marienburg has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Bebri found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: Marienburg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bebri VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bebri

(Home)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 7

Marienburg

(Away)
07 Jul
Rezekne
:
Marienburg
19 Jun
Bebri
8 : 0
Marienburg
22 Jun
Marienburg
1 : 3
FK Dobele

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Saldus -
SFK United -
TBD -
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FK Carnikava -
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Riga United 2
Rinuzi 7
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FK Daugava Riga -
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FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
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FK Auda Riga -
RTU -
TBD -
Lielupe 0
Kuldigas NSS 9
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Valmiera -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
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Upesciems -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Caramba 2
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 4
Fortuna 2
TBD -
Balvu SC -
Ludzas NSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
FK Bandava 2
Dinamo Riga 1
DSVK Traktors 0
TBD -
Adazi -
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TBD -
Ogre -
BFC Daugavpils -
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Rezekne -
TBD -
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FK Laidze -
TBD -
FK Alberts 0
Monarhs 2
AFA Olaine -
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Tukums 2000 -
Gulbene -
TBD -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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Marienburg -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 0
Bebri 6
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Ventspils -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
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Saldus -
SFK United -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 4
Rinuzi 5
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FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
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FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
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FK Auda Riga -
RTU 4
Kuldigas NSS 2
TBD -
Valmiera -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Preilu BJSS -
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Upesciems 2
Caramba 3
Salaspils FK -
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RFS -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 4
Balvu SC 3
Ludzas NSS 2
FK Bandava 3
Dinamo Riga 2
Adazi 0
TBD -
Ogre -
BFC Daugavpils -
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Rezekne -
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FK Laidze 1
Monarhs 8
AFA Olaine -
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Tukums 2000 -
Gulbene -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
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Marienburg 0
Bebri 8
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Ventspils -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene 4
Saldus 0
SFK United 1
Rinuzi 2
TBD -
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FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
TBD -
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FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
FK Auda Riga -
RTU 1
Valmiera 2
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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Preilu BJSS 2
Caramba 1
Salaspils FK 1
RFS 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 5
FK Bandava 2
Dinamo Riga 0
Ogre 4
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
Monarhs -
AFA Olaine 0
Tukums 2000 1
Gulbene 4
Jekabpils SC 1
Plavinas 0
Bebri 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene 2
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja 3
Valmiera 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS 2
RFS 5
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Grobina 2
Ogre 3
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
Rezekne 0
Tukums 2000 1
Gulbene 3
Bebri 0
TBD -
Ventspils -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 7
FC Jurmala 1
FK Smiltene 0
FK Daugava Riga 2
Skonto 2
FK Metta 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Liepaja 6
Spartaks Jurmala 3
RFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Ogre 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Tukums 2000 1
Gulbene 0
Ventspils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava -
FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto 1
FK Liepaja 2
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Ogre 0
BFC Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
FK Liepaja 0
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
Final
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 0