Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
Sierra R.
78'
78'
Minana O.
88'
88'
Sierra R.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Becerril and Numancia B finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Becerril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Recent numbers put Becerril and Numancia B close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
- Becerril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Becerril Clean Sheet 68%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Becerril | Numancia B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Numancia B
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Becerril
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Becerril
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Numancia B
3:2
Feb 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Becerril
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Becerril Compare
Top Goalscorer Sierra R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Numancia B Compare
Top Goalscorer Minana O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Becerril 95 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Becerril Numancia B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Becerril scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Becerril remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Becerril VS Numancia B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Becerril
(Home) 10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1 Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2 Mansilles
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2 Mansilles
29 Mar
Becerril
1 : 1 Numancia B
15 Mar
Becerril
0 : 0 Villaralbo
Page 1 of 3
Numancia B
(Away) 10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0 Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2 Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0 Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1 CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0 Numancia B
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0 Numancia B
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0 Numancia B
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0 Numancia B
29 Mar
Becerril
1 : 1 Numancia B
14 Mar
Bembibre
2 : 0 Numancia B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)