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Bedford vs Hednesford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bedford host Hednesford in the National League North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bedford have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Hednesford's 1.85 scored and 1.19 conceded. Head-to-head, Bedford have won 2 to Hednesford's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2023, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring Hednesford. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bedford
20%
Draws
51%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hednesford lately — more wins on the board than Bedford.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Hednesford taking it.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bedford Clean Sheet 18%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedford Hednesford
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.44 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Bedford vs Hednesford
1:3
Aug 27, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Hednesford vs Bedford
1:2
Apr 9, 2011 Southern Premier League
Hednesford vs Bedford
4:1
Oct 30, 2010 Southern Premier League
Bedford vs Hednesford
2:1
Mar 30, 2010 Southern Premier League
Hednesford vs Bedford
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedford 20 / 100
Hednesford 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedford Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hednesford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bedford scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Hednesford let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Bedford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bedford VS Hednesford
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bedford

(Home)
20 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 2
Bedford
17 Oct
Bedford
0 : 0
Cray Wanderers
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0
Bedford
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

Hednesford

(Away)
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2
Brackley
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1
Hednesford
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)