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Bedford vs Peterborough Sports

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Marsh T.
15' Event
Marsh T.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Marsh T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bedford in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bedford
6%
Draws
4%
Peterborough Sports
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bedford lately — more wins on the board than Peterborough Sports.
  • Win probability leans Bedford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bedford Clean Sheet 68%
Peterborough Sports Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedford Peterborough Sports
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Peterborough Sports
4:1
Nov 25, 2025 National League North
Peterborough Sports vs Bedford
3:1
Jul 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Bedford vs Peterborough Sports
1:1
Jul 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Peterborough Sports vs Bedford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsh T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Peterborough Sports Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedford 95 / 100
Peterborough Sports 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedford Peterborough Sports

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Bedford has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bedford found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Peterborough Sports's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bedford VS Peterborough Sports
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029