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Bedford vs Worksop

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Starcenko A.
71' Event
Waldock L.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Bedford and Worksop finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Worksop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bedford
33%
Draws
27%
Worksop
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Worksop come out ahead of Bedford on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bedford's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bedford Clean Sheet 14%
Worksop Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedford Worksop
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Worksop
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 National League North
Worksop vs Bedford
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bedford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Worksop Compare

Top Goalscorer Starcenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waldock L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedford 39 / 100
Worksop 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedford Worksop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Bedford remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bedford's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Worksop conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bedford VS Worksop
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bedford

(Home)
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Walton & Hersham
14 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Biggleswade FC
11 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
07 Jul
Bedford
0 : 0
Aldershot
25 Apr
Bedford
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Worksop

(Away)
14 Jul
South Normanton Athletic
3 : 4
Worksop
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1
Ilkeston
04 Jul
Worksop
4 : 2
Hallam
25 Apr
Chorley
2 : 1
Worksop
18 Apr
Worksop
8 : 0
Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)