Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bednja Beletinec vs Rijeka

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Puskadija V.
25'
Bosilj L.
28'
Galesic N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Rijeka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bednja Beletinec
20%
Draws
52%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rijeka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rijeka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Bednja Beletinec Clean Sheet 16%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bednja Beletinec Rijeka
Matches Played 13 32
Wins 6 20
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.54 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2024 Croatian Cup
Bednja Beletinec vs Rijeka
0:3
Sep 23, 2015 Croatian Cup
Bednja Beletinec vs Rijeka
0:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bednja Beletinec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Pasalic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Butic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bednja Beletinec 10 / 100
Rijeka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bednja Beletinec Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Bednja Beletinec's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Rijeka has conceded goals in 41% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Bednja Beletinec remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rijeka
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bednja Beletinec

(Home)
27 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
1 : 4
Karlovac
22 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rijeka
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
28 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
2 : 1
Orijent
19 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rudes
Page 1 of 3

Rijeka

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 4
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Kustosija 3
NK Polet 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Nehaj Senj 0
Croatia Dakovo 4
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Gaj Mace 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Banjole 2
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 1
Slavonija Pozega 2
TBD -
Oriolik -
Medjimurec 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Jadran Porec 1
Radnik Krizevci 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Bilogora 1
Zagora 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bednja Beletinec 2
Orijent 1
TBD -
Belisce -
Neretvanac 2
Bedem Ivankovo 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Sava Strmec 0
Pitomaca 7
TBD -
Rudes -
Tomislav DA 5
Sloga Borovo 0
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Dugopolje 1
Jarun 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Samobor 10
Ferdinandovac 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 0
Sibenik 2
Kustosija 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Croatia Dakovo 1
HNK Gorica 2
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 2
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Banjole 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 3
Oriolik 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 1
Osijek 3
Jadran Porec 0
Mladost Zdralovi 2
Bilogora 0
Hajduk Split 4
Bednja Beletinec 3
Belisce 0
Neretvanac 1
Rijeka 3
Pitomaca 1
Rudes 2
Tomislav DA 0
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Samobor 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
1/8-finals
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
HNK Gorica 2
Varazdin 1
Bjelovar 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rijeka 3
Rudes 1
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo 3
HNK Gorica 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 1
Rijeka 3
Istra 1961 3
Lok. Zagreb 0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo 1
Osijek 0
Rijeka 1
Istra 1961 0
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Rijeka 2