Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2023/2024

Leek Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bedworth United play Leek Town in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. Leek Town are favorites here. Recently, Bedworth United averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Leek Town averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Bedworth United won 0, Leek Town won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Bedworth United and 1.18 for Leek Town. This points to a Leek Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Bedworth United

15%

Draws

60%

Leek Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Bedworth United picked up more points recently compared to Leek Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Bedworth United Clean Sheet 20%

Leek Town Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bedworth United	Leek Town
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	16
Draws	3	5
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	1.1	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy

Bedworth United vs Leek Town

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:5

Oct 18, 2014 FA Trophy

Leek Town vs Bedworth United

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedworth United 27 / 100

Leek Town 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bedworth United Leek Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Leek Town & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bedworth United attacking → ← attacking Leek Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bedworth United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Leek Town let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Bedworth United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Leek Town lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13