Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
24'
24'
Soler S.
Assist: Konte A.
38'
38'
Sub
He Yupeng In: Abdugheni Abduhamit
Out: He Yupeng
45'
45'
Zhang H.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Liaoning Tieren finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
35%
10%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Liaoning Tieren on wins alone.
- Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Liaoning Tieren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Beijing Guoan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Soler S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Liaoning Tieren Compare
Top Goalscorer Kunimoto T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 85 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Liaoning Tieren
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beijing Guoan found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Liaoning Tieren conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Beijing Guoan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS Liaoning Tieren
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Aug
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 3
Liaoning Tieren
(Away) 11 Oct
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 1 Wuhan Three Towns
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4 Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
08 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
