Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
China
Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
24'
24'
Serginho
Assist: Konte A.
38'
38'
Sub
He Yupeng In: Abdugheni Abduhamit
Out: He Yupeng
45'
45'
Zhang H.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Liaoning Tieren finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Liaoning Tieren on wins alone.
- Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 16%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Liaoning Tieren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Beijing Guoan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Liaoning Tieren Compare
Top Goalscorer Kunimoto T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 75 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Liaoning Tieren
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beijing Guoan found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Liaoning Tieren has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS Liaoning Tieren
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
30 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 3 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 7
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
23 May
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 May
Beijing Guoan
4 : 2 Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 4
Liaoning Tieren
(Away) 17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5 Shandong Taishan
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
29 May
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 2 Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
24 May
Zhejiang Professional
0 : 5 Liaoning Tieren
16 May
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2 Liaoning Tieren
01 May
Henan Songshan Longmen
4 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28:32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36:35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23:29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35:34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang Professional | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25:33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26:34 | 11 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)