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Stadium Background

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beijing Guoan host Qingdao West Coast in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Qingdao West Coast have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Beijing Guoan have conceded 1.16 and scored 2.19. Past meetings favor Beijing Guoan slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.06) back Beijing Guoan to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Beijing Guoan
35%
Draws
25%
Qingdao West Coast
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Beijing Guoan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Qingdao West Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Qingdao West Coast
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 9 14
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.19 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan
1:3
Jul 22, 2025 FA Cup
Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan
2:3
Jun 17, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 67 / 100
Qingdao West Coast 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Qingdao West Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beijing Guoan scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Beijing Guoan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Qingdao West Coast let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Qingdao West Coast
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beijing Guoan

(Home)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
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Qingdao West Coast

(Away)
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
09 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)