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Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Leo
37'
Zhang Yuning
45' Event
Mateus Vital
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Beijing Guoan
28%
Draws
22%
Shanghai Port
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Beijing Guoan a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Shanghai Port
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Super Cup
Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
2:3
May 1, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shanghai Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 49 / 100
Shanghai Port 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Shanghai Port

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Beijing Guoan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shanghai Port's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Shanghai Port
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
4Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
9Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348