Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Zhang Yuning
Assist: Nkololo B.
44'
Abreu F.
45'
Wang Shilong

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Beijing Guoan
40%
Draws
29%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beijing Guoan lately — more wins on the board than Shanghai Shenhua.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 16%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
2:2
Aug 22, 2024 FA Cup
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan Shinichi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 31 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Shanghai Shenhua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Shanghai Shenhua conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Beijing Guoan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Shanghai Shenhua
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
9Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1863929:3114
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348