Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC
China
Super League 2023 Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
5'
5'
Piao Cheng
19'
19'
Ademi A.
33'
33'
Du Yuezheng
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2023 game between Beijing Guoan and Shenzhen FC finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Shenzhen FC on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Beijing Guoan taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Beijing Guoan have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Shenzhen FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC
5:0
Jul 11, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan
2:1
Jun 21, 2022 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC
4:1
Jan 4, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Wang Ziming
3 Goals Assists Leader Piao Cheng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Shenzhen FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 95 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Shenzhen FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beijing Guoan's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Shenzhen FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
23 May
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 May
Beijing Guoan
4 : 2 Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 4
Shenzhen FC
(Away) 04 Nov
Shenzhen FC
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0 Shenzhen FC
29 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 1 Changchun Yatai
24 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 5 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 6
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0 Shenzhen FC
16 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
5 : 1 Shenzhen FC
13 Aug
Dalian Professional
2 : 1 Shenzhen FC
09 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 0 Shenzhen FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 61:30 | 63 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 59:25 | 58 |
| 3 | Zhejiang Professional | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 57:34 | 55 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:32 | 53 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 34:31 | 52 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53:35 | 51 |
| 7 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 40:29 | 48 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 10 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:40 | 36 |
| 11 | Meizhou Hakka | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 42:54 | 34 |
| 12 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29:60 | 31 |
| 13 | Qingdao Hainiu | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34:45 | 28 |
| 14 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26:42 | 22 |
| 15 | Dalian Professional | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 25:47 | 20 |
| 16 | Shenzhen FC | 30 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 22:79 | 12 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Relegation - Jia League 2024 (Main)