Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
16'
16'
Zhang Yuning
26'
26'
Chow T.
Own Goal
41'
41'
Shen H.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Shenzhen Xinpengcheng on wins alone.
- Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:0
Apr 21, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Beijing Guoan
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Beijing Guoan
2:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1
Jul 26, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Beijing Guoan
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals Assists Leader Dawhan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 85 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Beijing Guoan scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Aug
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Away) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
26 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
