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Beira Mar vs GD Resende

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Melo T. M.

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Beira Mar
35%
Draws
37%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beira Mar lately — more wins on the board than GD Resende.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Beira Mar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar GD Resende
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs GD Resende
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Beira Mar
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Beira Mar
0:1
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs GD Resende
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

GD Resende Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 42 / 100
GD Resende 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beira Mar scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

GD Resende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Beira Mar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS GD Resende
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)