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Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beitar Jerusalem host Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Ligat ha'Al. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Maccabi Tel Aviv have shipped 1.08 goals a game lately, while Beitar Jerusalem have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.91. Head-to-head, Beitar Jerusalem have won 3 to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 2.38) back Maccabi Tel Aviv to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Beitar Jerusalem
15%
Draws
44%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 16 24
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.91 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:2
May 2, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
4:2
Feb 16, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
2:6
May 24, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 30 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beitar Jerusalem scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Beitar Jerusalem stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)
11 Oct
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0 : 4
Beitar Jerusalem
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
Page 1 of 7

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Away)
10 Oct
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 0
Sakhnin
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 6 5 1 0 18:6 16
2 Hapoel Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 H. Beer Sheva 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
4 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
5 Beitar Jerusalem 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
6 Hapoel Haifa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
8 Netanya 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
9 Maccabi Petah Tikva 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
10 Sakhnin 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
11 Hapoel Petah Tikva 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
12 Shmona 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
13 Hapoel Ramat Gan 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 6 2 1 3 7:10 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)