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Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Twizer R.
22' Event
Twizer R.
47' Event
Shami B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Beitar Nahariya
30%
Draws
37%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have won more games recently than Beitar Nahariya.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Beitar Nahariya taking it.
  • Hapoel Afula arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Afula, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Beitar Nahariya Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nahariya Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2026 State Cup
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Nahariya Compare

Top Goalscorer Shami B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Twizer R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khalaila A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nahariya 42 / 100
Hapoel Afula 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nahariya Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nahariya's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Afula conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Beitar Nahariya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nahariya VS Hapoel Afula
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Nahariya

(Home)
26 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 3
Hapoel Afula
23 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
0 : 2
Beit Shean
19 Oct
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 4
Beitar Nahariya
12 Oct
Hapoel Yarka
0 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 3

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
26 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 3
Hapoel Afula
23 Oct
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Hapoel Afula
16 Oct
Hapoel Afula
0 : 0
M. Herzliya
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Nof Hagalil 4
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0
Bnei Herzliya 0
Maccabi Yavne 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Herzliya -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Yarka 0
Beitar Nahariya 1
TBD -
Hapoel Afula -
Ironi Nesher 2
Kiryat Haim 0
Ramat Hasharon 2
Bnei Eilat 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
FC Dimona 2
Bnei Yehud 0
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon -
TBD -
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Hapoel Petah Tikva -
Hapoel Akko -
TBD -
MS Tira 3
Maccabi Maalot 2
Hapoel Rahat FC 1
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
TBD -
M. Nazareth -
Hapoel Arad 1
Kfar Saba 1928 3
TBD -
Kiryat Yam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona 0
H. Herzliya 0
Hapoel Azor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kiryat Gat -
Beitar Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yehuda -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Jaffa -
TBD -
TBD -
Ironi Modiin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
Maccabi Haifa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Raanana -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3
FC Shefa-Amr 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 2
Beitar Mevaseret Zion 1
Hapoel Tayibe 2
Hapoel Daliyat 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ironi Tiberias -
MS Kafr Qasim -
TBD -
Gissin Petah Tikva 0
Beitar Petah Tikva 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
Netanya -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Hapoel Kfar Saba -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
1/32-finals
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Nof Hagalil 1
Maccabi Yavne 2
TBD -
M. Herzliya -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 9
Beitar Nahariya 1
Hapoel Afula 3
Ironi Nesher 2
Ramat Hasharon 1
TBD -
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
FC Dimona 2
H. Ironi Rishon 3
TBD -
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
Hapoel Akko 5
MS Tira 0
Hapoel Sderot FC 2
M. Nazareth 3
Kfar Saba 1928 0
Kiryat Yam 2
TBD -
Shmona -
Hapoel Karmiel 0
Hapoel Azor 2
TBD -
Kiryat Gat -
Beitar Jerusalem -
TBD -
Yehuda 3
SC Ashdod 4
Maccabi Jaffa 1
Ironi Modiin 3
TBD -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
Maccabi Haifa -
TBD -
H. Raanana 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 3
Hapoel Daliyat 2
TBD -
Ironi Tiberias -
MS Kafr Qasim 5
Beitar Petah Tikva 2
TBD -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
Netanya -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
1/16-finals
Sakhnin -
H. Beer Sheva -
Hapoel Jerusalem -
Hapoel Haifa -
Maccabi Yavne -
M. Herzliya -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Afula -
Ironi Nesher -
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
Hapoel Akko -
M. Nazareth -
Kiryat Yam -
Shmona -
Hapoel Azor -
Kiryat Gat -
Beitar Jerusalem -
SC Ashdod -
Ironi Modiin -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
Maccabi Haifa -
H. Raanana -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Ironi Tiberias -
MS Kafr Qasim -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
Netanya -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -