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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Kalmaro Y.
79' Event
Busquila S.
85' Event
Busquila S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2021/2022 game between Beitar Nordia Jerusalem and Ashkelon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
15%
Draws
85%
Ashkelon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashkelon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem come out ahead of Ashkelon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Beitar Nordia Jerusalem a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 16%
Ashkelon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Ashkelon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.61 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2022 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon
3:0
Oct 8, 2021 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:1
May 4, 2021 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon
4:2
Mar 5, 2021 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon
1:1
Dec 1, 2020 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Busquila S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalmaro Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ashkelon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 75 / 100
Ashkelon 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Ashkelon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Ashkelon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ashkelon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Home)
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
03 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 2
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 7

Ashkelon

(Away)
30 Dec
Maccabi Haifa
6 : 0
Ashkelon
28 Nov
Ashkelon
1 : 0
Agudat Sport Ashdod
14 Nov
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil
0 : 2
Ashkelon
13 Apr
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
7 : 0
Ashkelon
06 Apr
Ashkelon
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Lod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Jaffa 34 23 6 5 66:25 75
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 34 22 7 5 74:24 73
3 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 34 21 10 3 65:27 73
4 Holon Yermiyahu 34 18 8 8 54:45 62
5 Hapoel Marmorek 34 17 8 9 52:31 59
6 Maccabi Yavne 34 14 14 6 38:27 56
7 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 34 13 9 12 35:44 48
8 Maccabi Shaarayim 34 12 10 12 39:39 46
9 FC Dimona 34 11 9 14 43:40 42
10 Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 34 9 13 12 40:38 40
11 Shimshon Tel Aviv 34 11 6 17 56:57 39
12 M. Herzliya 34 9 10 15 35:41 37
13 Bnei Eilat 34 10 7 17 37:50 37
14 MS Ironi Kuseife 34 12 8 14 37:41 35
15 Hapoel Azor 34 9 6 19 50:57 33
16 Hapoel Bnei Lod 34 7 12 15 36:74 33
17 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 34 9 3 22 36:57 30
18 Ashkelon 34 3 6 25 18:94 15
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Alef North 2021/2022 (Relegation)