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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Kalmaro Y.
79' Event
Busquila S.
85' Event
Busquila S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2021/2022 game between Beitar Nordia Jerusalem and Ashkelon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
6%
Draws
4%
Ashkelon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem come out ahead of Ashkelon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Beitar Nordia Jerusalem a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 18%
Ashkelon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Ashkelon
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2022 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon
3:0
Oct 8, 2021 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:1
May 4, 2021 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon
4:2
Mar 5, 2021 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Ashkelon
1:1
Dec 1, 2020 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Busquila S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalmaro Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ashkelon Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 85 / 100
Ashkelon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Ashkelon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Ashkelon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ashkelon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Jaffa34236566:2575
2Hapoel Kfar Shalem34227574:2473
3Shimshon Kafr Qasim342110365:2773
4Holon Yermiyahu34188854:4562
5Hapoel Marmorek34178952:3159
6Maccabi Yavne341414638:2756
7Maccabi Ironi Ashdod341391235:4448
8Maccabi Shaarayim3412101239:3946
9FC Dimona341191443:4042
10Hapoel Bikat Hayarden349131240:3840
11Shimshon Tel Aviv341161756:5739
12M. Herzliya349101535:4137
13Bnei Eilat341071737:5037
14MS Ironi Kuseife341281437:4135
15Hapoel Azor34961950:5733
16Hapoel Bnei Lod347121536:7433
17Beitar Nordia Jerusalem34932236:5730
18Ashkelon34362518:9415