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Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bejaia play Amal Bou Saada in the Ligue 2 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bejaia averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Amal Bou Saada averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Bejaia won 4, Amal Bou Saada won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Bejaia and 0.65 for Amal Bou Saada. This points to a Bejaia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Bejaia
16%
Draws
30%
Amal Bou Saada
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Bejaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Bejaia picked up more points recently compared to Amal Bou Saada.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.65 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Bejaia Clean Sheet 28%
Amal Bou Saada Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bejaia Amal Bou Saada
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs Bejaia
1:3
Mar 16, 2021 Ligue 2
Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada
2:1
Feb 1, 2020 Ligue 2
Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada
2:1
Aug 30, 2019 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs Bejaia
1:1
Feb 8, 2019 Ligue 2
Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bejaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adrar O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Amal Bou Saada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bejaia 54 / 100
Amal Bou Saada 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bejaia Amal Bou Saada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bejaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bejaia & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bejaia attacking → ← attacking Amal Bou Saada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bejaia scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Amal Bou Saada let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Bejaia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Amal Bou Saada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 29
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chelghoum22127332:1843
2Annaba22118324:841
3US Chaouia22108435:2138
4Khenchela22108427:2038
5Telaghema22104827:1834
6MO Constantine2296727:2833
7CA Batna2295822:1932
8Eulma2286823:2430
9Khroub22571020:3122
10Ouled Djellal22551224:2920
11MSP Batna22521520:3617
12Tadjenant22421624:5314
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oued Sly22155236:1350
2CR Temouchent22144431:1446
3ASM Oran22126430:1742
4JSM Tiaret22116538:2339
5Saida2294930:2831
6Ain Ouessara2276930:3327
7El Khemis22831115:2127
8SC Ain Defla2267925:3525
9RC Oued Rhiou22651116:2923
10Remchi22641224:3322
11El Kerma2249926:3221
12OM Arzew22251521:4411
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arba22125530:1541
2Bejaia22125529:2241
3MO Bejaia22108422:1138
4RC Kouba2289524:2133
5Widad Adabi de Boufarik2289522:2233
6Harrach2287719:2231
7ES Ben Aknoun22710522:1431
8Beni Thour2285928:2629
9Lakhdaria2278718:1629
10Amal Bou Saada22821226:3526
11Msila22521520:3417
12USM Blida22241613:3510