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Bela Vista FC vs Itaberai

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Ponciano
(Penalty)
82' Event
Rodrigues D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bela Vista FC
6%
Draws
4%
Itaberai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bela Vista FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bela Vista FC at 1.63 per game, Itaberai at 0.75.
  • Model gives Bela Vista FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bela Vista FC Clean Sheet 20%
Itaberai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista FC Itaberai
Matches Played 10 16
Wins 3 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Itaberai vs Bela Vista FC
1:3
Aug 18, 2024 Goiano 3
Bela Vista FC vs Itaberai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bela Vista FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Itaberai Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista FC 85 / 100
Itaberai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista FC Itaberai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista FC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Itaberai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bela Vista FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista FC VS Itaberai
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uruacu641116:1113
2Tupy FC640215:712
3Rio Verde631219:710
4Pires do Rio60065:300
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mineiros843114:615
2Guanabara City84229:514
3Bela Vista FC835013:714
4Itaberai81256:155
5America GO80446:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aparecida EC63219:511
2Itumbiara63218:611
3Cerrado EC62228:88
4Rioverdense60243:92