Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bela Vista-TO vs Araguacema

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista-TO host Araguacema in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2022. This has Araguacema written all over it on paper. Bela Vista-TO have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Araguacema's 1 scored and 4 conceded. Past meetings favor Bela Vista-TO slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Araguacema. Araguacema in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bela Vista-TO
6%
Draws
90%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguacema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bela Vista-TO has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Araguacema.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Araguacema.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista-TO Araguacema
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguacema vs Bela Vista-TO
0:3
Jan 22, 2022 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Araguacema
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 10 / 100
Araguacema 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista-TO Araguacema

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Araguacema let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bela Vista-TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Araguacema lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista-TO VS Araguacema
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis971128:822
2Capital FC962116:620
3Interporto954016:519
4Uniao Carmolandense953111:818
5Bela Vista-TO933312:1012
6Palmas923416:119
7Nova Conquista923411:149
8Araguacema922512:148
9Gurupi91268:175
10Tocantins90184:411