Sport Picks

Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024

Colinas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista-TO play Colinas in the Tocantinense 2 2024. Bela Vista-TO are favorites here. Recently, Bela Vista-TO averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Colinas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. In past meetings, Bela Vista-TO won 1, Colinas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2024 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Bela Vista-TO and 1.00 for Colinas. This points to a Bela Vista-TO double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Bela Vista-TO

25%

Draws

15%

Colinas

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Bela Vista-TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Bela Vista-TO picked up more points recently compared to Colinas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 23%

Colinas Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bela Vista-TO	Colinas
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	3
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	1.6	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.37	2.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2

Bela Vista-TO vs Colinas

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 59 / 100

Colinas 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bela Vista-TO Colinas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bela Vista-TO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Bela Vista-TO & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bela Vista-TO attacking → ← attacking Colinas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Colinas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Bela Vista-TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Colinas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 17

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batalhao	6	4	2	0	22:5	14
2	Interporto	6	3	3	0	16:5	12
3	Araguaia (TO)	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
4	Sao Jose (TO)	6	3	2	1	11:10	11
5	Alvorada	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
6	Taquarussu	6	1	0	5	4:21	3
7	Uniao de Palmas	6	0	0	6	4:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bela Vista-TO	5	4	1	0	17:1	13
2	SD Sparta	5	3	2	0	10:2	11
3	Guarai SC	5	3	0	2	12:6	9
4	Araguacema	5	2	1	2	10:7	7
5	Arsenal (TO)	4	0	0	4	1:9	0
6	Colinas	4	0	0	4	1:26	0