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Bela Vista-TO vs Sao Jose (TO)

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Bela Vista-TO advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bela Vista-TO
39%
Draws
30%
Sao Jose (TO)
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose (TO) haven't matched Bela Vista-TO's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bela Vista-TO have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bela Vista-TO, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista-TO Sao Jose (TO)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Bela Vista-TO vs Sao Jose (TO)
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Sao Jose (TO) vs Bela Vista-TO
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 32 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista-TO Sao Jose (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (TO)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bela Vista-TO scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bela Vista-TO remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista-TO VS Sao Jose (TO)
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bela Vista-TO

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
Page 1 of 7

Sao Jose (TO)

(Away)
23 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
3 : 0
Sao Jose (TO)
17 Nov
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
09 Nov
Batalhao
3 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
02 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Sao Jose (TO)
22 Oct
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 0
Taquarussu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta2
Araguaia (TO)1
Bela Vista-TO4
Sao Jose (TO)2
Batalhao5
Araguacema4
Interporto2
Guarai SC4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta1
Bela Vista-TO2
Batalhao5
Guarai SC1
Final
Bela Vista-TO5
Batalhao2