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Bela Vista-TO vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Wed, Dec 4, 2024
1 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tocantinense 2 2024 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bela Vista-TO
35%
Draws
30%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bela Vista-TO at 1.6 per game, SD Sparta at 1.2.
  • Model gives SD Sparta a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista-TO SD Sparta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Bela Vista-TO vs SD Sparta
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tocantinense 2
SD Sparta vs Bela Vista-TO
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Bela Vista-TO vs SD Sparta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 20 / 100
SD Sparta 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista-TO SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bela Vista-TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista-TO VS SD Sparta
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bela Vista-TO

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
Page 1 of 6

SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta 2
Araguaia (TO) 1
Bela Vista-TO 4
Sao Jose (TO) 2
Batalhao 5
Araguacema 4
Interporto 2
Guarai SC 4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta 1
Bela Vista-TO 2
Batalhao 5
Guarai SC 1
Final
Bela Vista-TO 5
Batalhao 2