Sport Picks

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Bela Vista-TO vs Uniao Carmolandense

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Romulo
73' Event
Arnaldo
90' Event
Andre M.

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2025 game between Bela Vista-TO and Uniao Carmolandense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bela Vista-TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bela Vista-TO
6%
Draws
90%
Uniao Carmolandense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense haven't matched Bela Vista-TO's recent run of results.
  • Uniao Carmolandense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista-TO Uniao Carmolandense
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Bela Vista-TO
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Uniao Carmolandense
3:0
Jan 27, 2024 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Bela Vista-TO
1:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Uniao Carmolandense
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Bela Vista-TO
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnaldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Uniao Carmolandense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 10 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista-TO Uniao Carmolandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bela Vista-TO has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Uniao Carmolandense conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista-TO VS Uniao Carmolandense
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bela Vista-TO

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
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Uniao Carmolandense

(Away)
05 Apr
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense
02 Apr
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Tocantinopolis
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Araguaina
0 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis751115:616
2Capital FC75028:415
3Araguaina73139:710
4Gurupi72419:510
5Uniao Carmolandense73137:127
6Bela Vista-TO72147:117
7Batalhao713312:116
8Tocantins71154:154
Promotion - Tocantinense 2025 (Play Offs)