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Belarus U21 vs Russia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Varaksa V.
33'
Korneev A.
46'
Sub
Ignatenko V. In: Smelov E.
Out: Ignatenko V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Belarus U21
6%
Draws
90%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belarus U21 haven't matched Russia U21's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Russia U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Belarus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
2:0
Nov 15, 2023 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
1:3
Sep 21, 2022 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
1:6
May 31, 2017 Friendly International
Russia U21 vs Belarus U21
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Varaksa V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishkov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U21 10 / 100
Russia U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Belarus U21 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Russia U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Belarus U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belarus U21 VS Russia U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
05 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
Austria U21
2 : 1
Belarus U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
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