Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belarus U21 vs Wales U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Myalkovskiy R.
Assist: Tsepenkov K.
32'
Cox D.
43'
Congreve C.

AI Match Summary

Belarus U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belarus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Belarus U21
6%
Draws
4%
Wales U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belarus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wales U21 lately — more wins on the board than Belarus U21.
  • Belarus U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Belarus U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U21 Wales U21
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Belarus U21
2:0
Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Belarus U21 vs Wales U21
3:0
Sep 2, 1999 Euro U21
Belarus U21 vs Wales U21
1:0
Oct 12, 1998 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Belarus U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Myalkovskiy R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsepenkov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wales U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U21 95 / 100
Wales U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U21 Wales U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belarus U21 scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Wales U21 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Wales U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belarus U21 VS Wales U21
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
05 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
Austria U21
2 : 1
Belarus U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
Page 1 of 7

Wales U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)