Sport Picks
Belarus vs Luxembourg Prediction & H2H Stats
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 ZTE Aréna, Zalaegerszeg 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gromyko V.
Penalty Missed
22'
22'
Sinani D.
30'
30'
D'Anzico K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luxembourg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Belarus at 1.12 per game, Luxembourg at 0.75.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Belarus Clean Sheet 68%
Luxembourg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belarus | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Luxembourg
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg vs Belarus
0:1
Nov 15, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg vs Belarus
0:2
Oct 12, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Luxembourg
1:0
Aug 31, 2017 World Championship
Luxembourg vs Belarus
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belarus Compare
Top Goalscorer Politevich S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Luxembourg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belarus 42 / 100
Luxembourg 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belarus Luxembourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Luxembourg conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Belarus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Belarus scored in 58% of their last 26 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Belarus VS Luxembourg
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Belarus
(Home) 26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0 Belarus
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2 Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1 Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2 Belarus
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1 Belarus
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2 Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1 Syria
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0 Greece
09 Oct
Belarus
0 : 6 Denmark
08 Sept
Belarus
0 : 2 Scotland
Page 1 of 3
Luxembourg
(Away) 26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2 Luxembourg
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Luxembourg
03 Jun
Luxembourg
0 : 1 Italy
31 Mar
Luxembourg
3 : 0 Malta
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2 Luxembourg
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2 Luxembourg
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Luxembourg
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2 Luxembourg
17 Nov
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Luxembourg
13 Oct
Slovakia
2 : 0 Luxembourg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
