Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belasitsa Petrich vs Etar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Tsar Samuil
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Velichkov K.
25' Event
Stoyanchov S.
46'
Sub
Ivanov D. In: Tasev T.
Out: Ivanov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Belasitsa Petrich and Etar finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Belasitsa Petrich
6%
Draws
90%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Etar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Etar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Etar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 15%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasitsa Petrich Etar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Etar
2:4
Oct 18, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Belasitsa Petrich
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Belasitsa Petrich
4:0
Aug 3, 2024 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Etar
2:0
Mar 31, 2023 Vtora liga
Etar vs Belasitsa Petrich
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belasitsa Petrich Compare

Top Goalscorer Karakashev G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smilkov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanchov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Velichkov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasitsa Petrich 10 / 100
Etar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasitsa Petrich Etar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Belasitsa Petrich scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Etar let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Belasitsa Petrich went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belasitsa Petrich VS Etar
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 50%
86% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219