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Belasitsa Petrich vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Belasitsa Petrich and Kostinbrod finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belasitsa Petrich
15%
Draws
85%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kostinbrod come out ahead of Belasitsa Petrich on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kostinbrod a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 17%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasitsa Petrich Kostinbrod
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Kostinbrod
0:1
Mar 12, 2022 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Kostinbrod
4:1
Aug 21, 2021 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Belasitsa Petrich
0:2
Mar 4, 2012 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Kostinbrod
2:1
Aug 21, 2011 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Belasitsa Petrich
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasitsa Petrich 20 / 100
Kostinbrod 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasitsa Petrich Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasitsa Petrich scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Kostinbrod let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Kostinbrod's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belasitsa Petrich VS Kostinbrod
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasitsa Petrich

(Home)
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
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