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Belcard Grodno vs Rudensk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belcard Grodno play Rudensk in the Pershaya Liga 2011. Belcard Grodno are favorites here. Recently, Belcard Grodno averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Rudensk averaged 0.53 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Belcard Grodno won 2, Rudensk won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2011 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for Belcard Grodno and 0.86 for Rudensk. This points to a Belcard Grodno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Belcard Grodno
15%
Draws
29%
Rudensk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belcard Grodno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Belcard Grodno picked up more points recently compared to Rudensk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Belcard Grodno Clean Sheet 25%
Rudensk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belcard Grodno Rudensk
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2011 Pershaya Liga
Belcard Grodno vs Rudensk
2:0
Jul 30, 2011 Pershaya Liga
Rudensk vs Belcard Grodno
0:2
Oct 31, 2010 Pershaya Liga
Belcard Grodno vs Rudensk
0:1
Jul 3, 2010 Pershaya Liga
Rudensk vs Belcard Grodno
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belcard Grodno 55 / 100
Rudensk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belcard Grodno Rudensk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belcard Grodno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Belcard Grodno & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belcard Grodno attacking → ← attacking Rudensk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belcard Grodno scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rudensk let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Belcard Grodno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rudensk lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slavia Mozyr30225353:1571
2Partizan Minsk30205559:2665
3FK Gorodeja30167751:3155
4SKVICH Minsk30166857:2754
5Slutsk301310744:3349
6Rechytsa301371040:3446
7Volna Pinsk301361152:3845
8Mikashevichi301110938:3543
9FK Kletsk301251345:4241
10Polotsk30981336:3935
11Smorgon30971432:4534
12DSK Gomel308101228:3434
13Rudensk30961525:4033
14Chimik Svetlogorsk301021832:4832
15Belcard Grodno30851730:5529
16FK Baranovici30032710:903