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Belconnen United vs Canberra Croatia

Australia Australia

NPL ACT McKellar Park
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Keir R.
20' Event
Whitehead S.
79' Event
Zsuzsa R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Belconnen United and Canberra Croatia finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canberra Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Belconnen United
28%
Draws
50%
Canberra Croatia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canberra Croatia come out ahead of Belconnen United on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Canberra Croatia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 10%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belconnen United Canberra Croatia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.63 3
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Canberra Croatia
1:4
Aug 27, 2022 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Canberra Croatia
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Belconnen United
4:0
May 8, 2022 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Belconnen United
2:0
Aug 21, 2021 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Canberra Croatia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belconnen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ringi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Keir R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whitehead S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belconnen United 22 / 100
Canberra Croatia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belconnen United Canberra Croatia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belconnen United scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Canberra Croatia conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Belconnen United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belconnen United VS Canberra Croatia
1.63 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia15121243:1637
2Monaro Panthers15120353:2236
3Tigers FC16102443:2032
4Canberra Juventus14100432:2130
5Tuggeranong United14100434:2930
6Queanbeyan City1481530:2125
7Canberra Olympic1551932:4116
8O'Connor Knights15501015:3015
9Belconnen United15221123:348
10Brindabella Blues1420127:446
11Canberra White Eagles15111311:454