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Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL ACT McKellar Park, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Nahuel J. G.
60' Event
Brown R.
84' Event
Jambrek R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Belconnen United and Queanbeyan City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queanbeyan City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Belconnen United
15%
Draws
78%
Queanbeyan City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queanbeyan City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Belconnen United haven't matched Queanbeyan City's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Queanbeyan City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Queanbeyan City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 10%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belconnen United Queanbeyan City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Belconnen United
4:1
Aug 10, 2024 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Capital Premier League
Queanbeyan City vs Belconnen United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belconnen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nahuel J. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jambrek R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belconnen United 10 / 100
Queanbeyan City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belconnen United Queanbeyan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queanbeyan City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belconnen United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Queanbeyan City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Belconnen United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belconnen United VS Queanbeyan City
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belconnen United

(Home)
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0
Belconnen United
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Monaro Panthers
7 : 0
Belconnen United
01 Aug
Belconnen United
0 : 1
Tigers FC
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
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Queanbeyan City

(Away)
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
16 Aug
Canberra Juventus
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)