Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belene vs Etar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belene
15%
Draws
85%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Belene.
  • Etar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Etar have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Belene Clean Sheet 13%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belene Etar
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.68 2.24
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Third League - North-West
Etar vs Belene
2:0
Sep 6, 2015 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Etar
0:5
May 18, 2014 Third League - North-West
Etar vs Belene
3:0
Nov 10, 2013 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Etar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belene 10 / 100
Etar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belene Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Etar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Away concern: Etar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Belene found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Etar
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belene

(Home)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
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Etar

(Away)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
Promotion - B PFG 2014/2015 (Main)