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Belenense vs Paraense SC

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Belenense Logo

Belenense

2 - 0
FT
Paraense SC Logo

Paraense SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belenense in this Paraense A3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Belenense
20%
Draws
33%
Paraense SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Belenense have won more games recently than Paraense SC.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Belenense taking it.
  • Regular Paraense A3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Belenense Clean Sheet 18%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenense Paraense SC
Matches Played 15 9
Wins 8 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Paraense SC
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Belenense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense 67 / 100
Paraense SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenense Paraense SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Belenense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Paraense SC has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belenense VS Paraense SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenense

(Home)
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
14 Nov
Belenense
2 : 1
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

Paraense SC

(Away)
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
03 Nov
Paraense SC
3 : 1
Santos PA
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)