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Belenense vs Sport Belem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Belenense Logo

Belenense

3 - 2
FT
Sport Belem Logo

Sport Belem

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belenense in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Belenense
20%
Draws
33%
Sport Belem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belenense lately — more wins on the board than Sport Belem.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Belenense Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenense Sport Belem
Matches Played 17 20
Wins 9 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.82 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Sport Belem
3:2
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs Belenense
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense 29 / 100
Sport Belem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenense Sport Belem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Belenense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Sport Belem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 20 matches.

Belenense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belenense VS Sport Belem
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenense

(Home)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 4

Sport Belem

(Away)
03 Oct
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Parauapebas
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)