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Beleza W vs Albirex Niigata W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Takikawa Y.
21' Event
Sonoda M.
55' Event
Sugita A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Beleza W
15%
Draws
34%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Beleza W have won more games recently than Albirex Niigata W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Beleza W taking it.
  • Beleza W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 16%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beleza W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Beleza W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:3
May 16, 2026 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Albirex Niigata W
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Beleza W
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Beleza W
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 Empress's Cup Women
Beleza W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aoki Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Albirex Niigata W Compare

Top Goalscorer Takikawa Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonoda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beleza W 41 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beleza W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Beleza W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Beleza W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beleza W VS Albirex Niigata W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beleza W

(Home)
03 Oct
Urawa W
4 : 2
Beleza W
27 Sept
C-Osaka W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
12 Sept
Beleza W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 5 4 0 1 10:7 11
2 Nojima Stella W 5 3 0 2 8:5 11
3 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Omiya Ardija W 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Beleza W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
7 C-Osaka W 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
8 Mynavi Sendai W 5 2 0 3 4:6 8
9 Urawa W 5 2 0 3 10:9 7
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5 1 0 4 6:11 2
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 5 0 0 5 0:10 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)