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Beleza W vs Omiya Ardija W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Sun, Mar 7, 2027
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Beleza W at 1.81 goals for, 1.42 against; Omiya Ardija W at 1.57 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Beleza W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Beleza W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Beleza W
15%
Draws
42%
Omiya Ardija W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Beleza W have won more games recently than Omiya Ardija W.
  • Beleza W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Beleza W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Beleza W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Beleza W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 15%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beleza W Omiya Ardija W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 0 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W
2:3
Feb 18, 2026 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W
2:2
May 11, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Omiya Ardija W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beleza W 41 / 100
Omiya Ardija W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beleza W Omiya Ardija W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Beleza W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Omiya Ardija W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Beleza W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beleza W VS Omiya Ardija W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beleza W

(Home)
03 Oct
Urawa W
4 : 2
Beleza W
27 Sept
C-Osaka W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
12 Sept
Beleza W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
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Omiya Ardija W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
3 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
4 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
5 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
6 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 C-Osaka W 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:12 4
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 1:12 1
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)