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Beleza W vs Saitama W

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Ikuta N.
Assist: Otaka K.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women 2025/2026 game between Beleza W and Saitama W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saitama W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Beleza W
15%
Draws
31%
Saitama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Beleza W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Beleza W a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Beleza W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 68%
Saitama W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beleza W Saitama W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.84 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Saitama W vs Beleza W
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Saitama W
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Beleza W
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Saitama W
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Beleza W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beleza W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saitama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikuta N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beleza W 50 / 100
Saitama W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beleza W Saitama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saitama W conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Beleza W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Beleza W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beleza W VS Saitama W
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beleza W

(Home)
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
12 Sept
Beleza W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
05 Sept
Urawa W
3 : 1
Beleza W
29 Aug
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Aug
Beleza W
2 : 1
JEF United W
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Saitama W

(Away)
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
13 Sept
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Saitama W
05 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
30 Aug
Saitama W
2 : 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
22 Aug
Nojima Stella W
1 : 0
Saitama W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 22 17 2 3 50:13 53
2 Urawa W 22 14 2 6 46:15 44
3 Beleza W 22 13 2 7 44:23 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 10 8 4 30:20 38
5 Mynavi Sendai W 22 9 7 6 22:19 34
6 Albirex Niigata W 22 9 4 9 23:27 31
7 Omiya Ardija W 22 6 9 7 24:28 27
8 Nojima Stella W 22 8 3 11 28:34 27
9 JEF United W 22 6 6 10 16:34 24
10 C-Osaka W 22 5 6 11 20:34 21
11 Saitama W 22 5 3 14 20:37 18
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 22 2 4 16 16:55 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Main)